
Join Us Tomorrow for Kip Meyer’s Seminar on Designing Your Retirement
We hope you’ll join us for Kip Meyer’s discussion on designing your “third act”: retirement. Kip is a Greenwich native with extensive business and life coaching experience, having worked with global organizations including the United Nations, Oracle, Citi, and Liberty Mutual.
This free online seminar will be held Wednesday, September 17th from 6-7 PM. RSVP today to secure your spot! Simply email katie@thedowlinggroup.com or call 203.967.2231. You’ll receive a link to the seminar just ahead of the event.
Watch Sean’s Presentation on CCRCs
Last week, Sean gave a high-level explanation of the various financial and tax advantages relating to continuing care retirement communities (CCRCs). The 47 minute seminar was graciously organized by Edgehill, a senior living community here in Greenwich. We hope you find Sean’s presentation thought-provoking; please contact us to find out how these strategies can work for your situation, and remember to share this link with family and friends!
Watch or download: Sean Dowling: Financial Considerations for Continuing Care Retirement Communities (275MB video)
Tax Extension Deadline Is Approaching
If you filed for an extension earlier this year, the final deadline to submit your 2024 tax return is Tuesday, October 15th. Please make sure all documents are uploaded and any open items are addressed well before then so we can ensure timely filing. Please reach out if you have any remaining questions—we’re happy to help!
The Markets
What are your expectations for inflation?
Inflation occurs when the prices of goods and services increase. Last week, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed that inflation moved modestly higher from July to August. Prices increased 2.9 percent, year over year, remaining above the Federal Reserve’s long-term goal of 2 percent inflation. Overall, prices increased 0.4 percent, month over month, from July to August.
Grocery prices rose faster than other prices. The cost of fresh fruits and vegetables rose 1.6 percent from July to August, led by tomato prices, which were 4.5 percent higher. The cost of meat also rose faster than headline inflation, up 1.0 percent month over month, with a 2.7 percent rise in the beef index. In contrast, the price of sweet rolls, coffee cakes, and doughnuts fell by 2.3 percent month over month, and egg prices remained steady.
Why Did Food Prices Rise?
“Tariffs are a factor, but they are only one piece of the puzzle,” according to a restaurant-industry source cited by Megan Leonhardt of Barron’s. “Food costs are also climbing because of labor shortages in production and distribution, elevated transportation expenses, and weather events that disrupt harvests and livestock production.”
Consumers anticipate prices may increase further, according to the University of Michigan’s September Consumer Sentiment Index, which was released last week.
“Year-ahead inflation expectations held steady at 4.8 [percent], unchanged from August. Long-run inflation expectations moved up for the second straight month to 3.9 [percent] in September. This current reading is considerably lower than the 4.4 [percent] seen in April,” reported Surveys of Consumers Director Joanne Hsu.
Stock Markets Were Undaunted by Economic Data
Investors remained confident that weakness in the labor market would weigh more heavily in the Fed’s rate decision next week than inflation data would. “Markets have fully priced in a September cut and now anticipate three reductions this year, compared to two just weeks ago,” reported Indradip Ghosh of Reuters.
Market optimism pushed major U.S. stock indexes higher last week. Treasuries were mixed, with yields on the longest maturities of Treasuries ending the week near where they started it.
Data as of 9/12/25 | 1-Week | Y-T-D | 1-Year | 3-Year | 5-Year | 10-Year |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Standard & Poor's 500 Index | 1.6% | 12.0% | 17.7% | 17.0% | 14.2% | 12.9% |
Dow Jones Global ex-U.S. Index | 1.8 | 22.1 | 18.4 | 12.6 | 6.8 | 5.3 |
10-year Treasury Note (yield only) | 4.1 | N/A | 3.7 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 2.2 |
Gold (per ounce) | 1.6 | 39.8 | 43.4 | 28.4 | 13.3 | 12.7 |
Bloomberg Commodity Index | 1.3 | 5.1 | 8.5 | -4.9 | 7.7 | 1.6 |
S&P 500, Dow Jones Global ex-US, Gold, Bloomberg Commodity Index returns exclude reinvested dividends (gold does not pay a dividend) and the three-, five-, and 10-year returns are annualized; and the 10-year Treasury Note is simply the yield at the close of the day on each of the historical time periods.
Sources: Yahoo! Finance, MarketWatch, djindexes.com, London Bullion Market Association.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Indices are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly. N/A means not applicable.
A Scarcity of Reading
We live in an information-rich world where people spend hours perusing social media. There’s even a slang term to describe it: brainrot. The term “refers to material of low or addictive quality, typically in online media, that preoccupies someone to the point it is said to affect mental functioning,” according to the Merriam Webster dictionary.
In the 1970s, Nobel Prize-winner Herbert Simon theorized that “the wealth of information means a dearth of something else: a scarcity of whatever it is that information consumes. What information consumes is rather obvious: it consumes the attention of its recipients. Hence a wealth of information creates a poverty of attention and a need to allocate that attention efficiently...”
Reading Appears to Be Suffering from a Poverty of Attention
In 2004, about 28 percent of the 10,000 people who participated in the government’s “American Time Use Survey” read print or digital books, perused magazines, or listened to audiobooks for the pleasure of it, according to a 2025 research paper published in iScience. Twenty years later, just 16 percent did.
Falling literacy levels may affect the desire to read. The Program for The International
Assessment Of Adult Competencies (PIAAC) uses a 500-point scale to measure literacy and divides its assessment into six levels of literacy.
- Below Level 1, Level 1: In 2023, 28 percent of U.S. adults, ages 16 to 65, scored at these levels, a 10 percent increase from a decade earlier.
- Level 2. In 2023, 29 percent of U.S. adults scored at this level, down from 33 percent a decade earlier.
- Levels 3, 4, and 5: In 2023, 44 percent of U.S. adults were at this level, down from 50 percent a decade earlier.
When compared to the 31 countries and subnational economies that participated in the study, the U.S. ranked 14th in literacy.
Reading Skills Affect Economic Growth
There is a significant relationship between reading and economic well-being, according to 2020 research conducted by Gallup and The Barbara Bush Foundation for Family Literacy. Gallup’s Principal Economist Jonathan Rothwell reported, “Eradicating illiteracy would have enormous economic benefits. This analysis finds that getting all U.S. adults to at least a Level 3 of literacy proficiency would generate an additional $2.2 trillion in annual income for the country. That is 10 [percent] of the gross domestic product.”
Weekly Focus – Think About It
“Libraries have always seemed like the richest places in the world to me, and I've done some of my best learning and thinking thanks to them. Libraries and librarians have definitely changed my life, and the lives of countless other Americans.”
—Barbara Bush, Former First Lady
Wishing you and your families well,
Sean M. Dowling, CFP, EA
President, The Dowling Group Wealth Management
Please feel free to forward this commentary to family, friends, or colleagues. If you would like us to add them to the list, please reply to this e-mail with their e-mail address and we will ask for their permission to be added.
- Government bonds and Treasury Bills are guaranteed by the U.S. government as to the timely payment of principal and interest and, if held to maturity, offer a fixed rate of return and fixed principal value. However, the value of fund shares is not guaranteed and will fluctuate.
- Corporate bonds are considered higher risk than government bonds but normally offer a higher yield and are subject to market, interest rate and credit risk as well as additional risks based on the quality of issuer coupon rate, price, yield, maturity, and redemption features.
- The Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general. You cannot invest directly in this index.
- All indexes referenced are unmanaged. Unmanaged index returns do not reflect fees, expenses, or sales charges. Index performance is not indicative of the performance of any investment.
- The Dow Jones Global ex-U.S. Index covers approximately 95% of the market capitalization of the 45 developed and emerging countries included in the Index.
- The 10-year Treasury Note represents debt owed by the United States Treasury to the public. Since the U.S. Government is seen as a risk-free borrower, investors use the 10-year Treasury Note as a benchmark for the long-term bond market.
- Gold represents the afternoon gold price as reported by the London Bullion Market Association. The gold price is set twice daily by the London Gold Fixing Company at 10:30 and 15:00 and is expressed in U.S. dollars per fine troy ounce.
- The Bloomberg Commodity Index is designed to be a highly liquid and diversified benchmark for the commodity futures market. The Index is composed of futures contracts on 19 physical commodities and was launched on July 14, 1998.
- The DJ Equity All REIT Total Return Index measures the total return performance of the equity subcategory of the Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) industry as calculated by Dow Jones.
- International investing involves special risks such as currency fluctuation and political instability and may not be suitable for all investors. These risks are often heightened for investments in emerging markets.
- Yahoo! Finance is the source for any reference to the performance of an index between two specific periods.
- Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice and are not intended as investment advice or to predict future performance.
- Economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and there can be no guarantee that strategies promoted will be successful.
- Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.
- You cannot invest directly in an index.
- Stock investing involves risk including loss of principal.
- The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and are subject to change. Investing involves risk including loss of principal.
- The Price-to-Earning (P/E) ratio is a measure of the price paid for a share relative to the annual net income or profit earned by the firm per share. It is a financial ratio used for valuation: a higher P/E ratio means investors are paying more for each unit of net income, thus, the stock is more expensive compared to one with a lower P/E ratio.
- These views are those of Carson Group Coaching, and not the presenting Representative or the Representative’s Broker/Dealer, and should not be construed as investment advice.
- This newsletter was prepared by Carson Group Coaching. Carson Group Coaching is not affiliated with the named broker/dealer.
- The foregoing information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee it is accurate or complete.
- Consult your financial professional before making any investment decision.
Sources:
https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm [Report, Tables 1 and 2]
https://www.federalreserve.gov/faqs/economy_14400.htm
https://www.barrons.com/articles/food-price-inflation-tariffs-eggs-2a801707 or go to https://resources.carsongroup.com/hubfs/WMC-Source/2025/09-15-25-Barrons-Food-Price-Inflation-Isnt-Going-Away-3.pdf
https://www.barrons.com/market-data?mod=BOL_TOPNAV or go to https://resources.carsongroup.com/hubfs/WMC-Source/2025/09-15-25-Barrons-DJIA-SP-NASDAQ-6.pdf
https://www.merriam-webster.com/slang/brain-rot
https://www.goodreads.com/author/quotes/89879.Herbert_A_Simon
https://www.cell.com/iscience/fulltext/S2589-0042(25)01549-4
https://today.yougov.com/entertainment/articles/48239-54-percent-of-americans-read-a-book-this-year\
https://nces.ed.gov/surveys/piaac/measure.asp
https://nces.ed.gov/surveys/piaac/2023/national_results.asp
https://nces.ed.gov/whatsnew/press_releases/12_10_2024.asp
https://www.azquotes.com/quotes/topics/librarian.html?p=12
ADV & Investment Objectives: Please contact The Dowling Group if there are any changes in your financial situation or investment objectives, or if you wish to impose, add or modify any reasonable restrictions to the management of your account. Our current disclosure statement is set forth on Part II of Form ADV and is available for your review upon request.
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